The State of Fashion 2026: When the Rules Change

Every year, McKinsey and The Business of Fashion publish the industry’s biggest annual report. Here’s what the 2026 edition — the tenth — actually means for how you’ll shop, dress, and spend this year.

46%of fashion executives expect 2026 to be tougher than 2025
2–3xfaster growth forecast for resale versus new-clothing sales through 2027
#1AI now ranks as the industry’s single biggest opportunity for growth

McKinsey and The Business of Fashion have published The State of Fashion every year since 2016 — the year of the Brexit vote and Donald Trump’s first US election win. Ten editions later, the report’s title for 2026 is blunt: When the Rules Change. New US tariffs have scrambled where clothes get made and sold, AI has moved from novelty to necessity, and shoppers everywhere are rethinking what’s actually worth paying for. “Challenging” has overtaken “uncertainty” as the word fashion executives use most to describe the year ahead, according to the BoF-McKinsey Executive Survey. Here’s what that means once it reaches your wardrobe.

Five shifts reshaping how you’ll shop this year

The full report runs to ten industry-facing themes — tariffs, workforce, efficiency, and boardroom strategy among them. These five are the ones that show up directly in what you buy, wear, and scroll past online.

Resale Sprint

Secondhand stops being a backup plan

The report projects secondhand and resale sales climbing at two to three times the pace of new-clothing sales by 2027. Roughly six of every ten shoppers worldwide told researchers that rising tariffs would push them toward secondhand buys instead of new purchases. Watches, fine jewellery, and structured bags are holding their resale value best.

The AI Shopper

Algorithms start doing the styling

For 2026, AI tops executives’ list of where the real growth opportunity lies this year, beating out new product lines and sustainability work as a stated priority. Expect fit-prediction, virtual try-on, and personalised recommendations to move from occasional feature to default shopping experience across most fashion sites.

The Wellbeing Era

Comfort becomes the new status symbol

Wellness now ranks as a top daily priority for the large majority of consumers surveyed globally, and it’s reshaping what “dressed up” means. Recovery fabrics, considered layering, and pieces built for how a day actually feels are edging out logo-driven, look-at-me dressing.

Jewellery Sparkles

One good piece beats a whole new outfit

With price tags climbing, the report flags accessories — layered jewellery especially — as the cheapest way to refresh a look without buying new clothing. It’s the same logic behind “the elevation game”: dressing up existing pieces rather than replacing them.

The Old RuleThe 2026 Rule
Buy new every seasonBuy resale, keep it for years
Trust the logoTrust the algorithm’s fit prediction
Dress for statusDress for how the day actually feels
A statement outfitA statement accessory on repeat pieces
Fixed, predictable pricingPrices that shift with tariffs and trade policy
The report’s closing argument is simple: in a market that isn’t getting any bigger overall, the only brands that gain ground this year will be the ones that actually earn a customer’s loyalty — not just their attention.
— Key takeaway from The State of Fashion 2026: When the Rules Change, McKinsey & Company and The Business of Fashion (BoF Insights)

See these shifts in your own closet

The macro report is written for boardrooms. YoYFashion breaks down what each of these shifts actually looks like on a hanger.

YoYFashion — It Makes Sense